Redesign prototype · real data, last updated 19 October 2026 · only the Global GDP Tracker page is redesigned · not the live site

Global GDP Tracker · Live

Live Global GDP Growth Forecast

The FocusEconomics World GDP Consensus Forecast is based on 3,500 individual projections for GDP growth across 198 countries.

Last updated Updated every weekday

World real GDP growth · 2026

Consensus Forecast
Daily Consensus over the last month · hover or use the arrow keys to read each day

By country

Current 2026 Global GDP Growth Consensus Forecast

Where each economy's real GDP growth forecast sits. Search for a country, or pick a range to see every economy in it.

Forecast range No data
World map of 2026 real GDP growth forecasts by country 195 economies: 17 below 0%, 44 between 0% and 2%, 72 between 2% and 4%, 62 above 4%. The List view shows every economy.

Source: FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast. Note: Each country is assigned a range based on the latest Consensus Forecast for real GDP growth in 2026. Actual forecast values are available to subscribers: request a free trial. The World real GDP aggregate is based on market exchange rates.

Evolution and revisions

Global GDP Forecast Revisions

How much the World Consensus has moved, and which economies saw the biggest upgrades and downgrades. Pick a period to compare.

Year
Economies

World ·

Behind the change

UpgradeDowngradeWorldRevision in percentage points (pp)

Source: FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast. Note: Revisions compare the current Consensus for real GDP growth (annual change, %) with the Consensus 1 week, 1 month, 3 months, 6 months or 1 year ago. The chart shows the five biggest upgrades and downgrades.

By region

Regional growth

Each region's growth forecast against the World. Pick a region to see its growth since 2010.

forecast by region

Real GDP, annual change in %

Dashed line: World Consensus Forecast for .

Real GDP, annual change in %

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Latest GDP News

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6,500Total Individual Forecasts
368Participating Institutions
39Commodities Forecasts
198Countries Covered

How it works

Frequently Asked Questions

Updated every weekday

Daily, except weekends and public holidays in Spain.

Weighted at market exchange rates

Each country weighs by its nominal GDP in U.S. dollars, not by PPP.

198 countries

The World figure averages the forecasts for every country FocusEconomics covers.

368 institutions

Investment banks, think tanks, consultancies, rating agencies and public institutions.

What is the global GDP forecast for 2026?

The global GDP forecast for 2026 is the latest FocusEconomics Consensus estimate of the real variation (i.e., adjusted for price changes) in the total value of all goods and services produced globally in 2026 compared to the previous year. In other words, it is an estimate of how much the world’s total economic output is expected to grow or shrink in 2026.

How often is the global GDP forecast updated?

The global GDP forecast is updated daily, in order to ensure that the forecast always reflects the latest available data. Data is not updated on weekends and public holidays in Spain.

How is the global GDP forecast calculated?

The global GDP forecast is the weighted average of the GDP growth forecasts for the 198 countries FocusEconomics covers, updated daily. The weighted average is calculated using each country’s nominal GDP in U.S. dollars at market exchange rates—not based on purchasing power parity (PPP) weights, which are typically used by institutions like the IMF and World Bank.

Which institutions contribute to the global GDP forecast?

FocusEconomics compiles forecasts from the leading international investment banks, national financial institutions, consulting firms, think tanks, professional forecasting companies, credit rating agencies and public institutions. The global GDP forecast is based on 3,123 projections from 368 institutions.

How accurate are the global GDP growth projections?

The depth of the panel—with hundreds of contributing institutions—combined with daily forecast updates makes the global GDP growth projections timely as well as accurate. Moreover, every individual forecast from a contributing institution undergoes rigorous quality control checks from our in-house team of economists and data analysts before being incorporated into the global projection.

Which factors impact the global economic outlook?

Multiple factors influence the global economic outlook. Chief among them are government and central bank policies (tax and spending measures, structural reforms, interest rate changes, etc), geopolitical developments (trade agreements, conflict, etc), the rate of technological change, and natural disasters.

How does the current global GDP forecast compare to previous years?

The global GDP forecast for 2026 is similar to the 2025 outturn, and thus the joint-weakest since the pandemic-induced contraction of 2020. This is a result of global trade tensions and an ongoing slowdown in China’s economic growth potential; China had in past years been a significant contributor to global growth.

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